Europe’s airline consolidation race has shifted to Lisbon, where two major carriers are competing for a strategic minority stake in TAP Air Portugal, as the Portuguese government proceeds with its long-delayed privatization plan. The government plans to sell up to 44.9% of TAP, with an additional 5% reserved for employees, leaving the state with a controlling share that could be sold later to the winning bidder.
Parpública, the state holding company overseeing the process, has 30 days to evaluate non-binding offers before shortlisting potential buyers and inviting formal bids. A final decision is anticipated in the second half of 2026.
Both Air France-KLM and Lufthansa have submitted their offers, positioning TAP as a strategic asset. Air France-KLM’s proposal emphasizes using Lisbon as a hub for southern Europe, leveraging TAP’s long-haul routes to Brazil and Africa while integrating TAP into its broader network and supporting decarbonization efforts. Similarly, Lufthansa envisions TAP as part of its multi-hub strategy, with the potential to increase its stake in the future.
Meanwhile, IAG has temporarily stepped back from the process, citing limited strategic benefits in holding a minority stake that leaves the Portuguese government in control. The Portuguese authorities have stressed the importance of bidders committed to maintaining TAP’s hub in Lisbon and supporting regional development. TAP, which was nationalized during the pandemic, has shown profitability in recent years, making it an attractive asset in the recovering aviation industry.

