European and international airlines are facing serious concerns over jet fuel availability due to geopolitical tensions, notably the blockades of the Strait of Hormuz. Industry bodies have warned that if tanker passage through the strait remains obstructed, a systemic jet fuel shortage across Europe could ensue within weeks, potentially disrupting flight schedules during the upcoming summer season.
Recent statements from the International Energy Agency suggest Europe may have only approximately six weeks’ worth of jet fuel supplies left, raising fears of cancellations and increased operational costs for airlines. The cost of jet fuel has also surged, with prices nearly doubling compared to last year, prompting airlines to introduce surcharges and consider operational adjustments to conserve fuel while maintaining service on key routes.
While major European hubs such as Paris Charles de Gaulle, Amsterdam, and Copenhagen are dipping into fuel reserves, officials from ACI Europe emphasize that currently, no European airport is facing acute shortages, and flight operations continue normally. However, some airlines have begun to modify schedules, and some less profitable routes might face cancellations if conditions worsen. Experts note that airlines hedge fuel costs years in advance, which provides some protection, though the overall market remains volatile.
Passengers are advised to book flights early to avoid potential fare increases, with prices generally rising as fuel costs escalate. Rights related to cancellations depend on the booking type, with regulated protections for package holidays and individual bookings. Travelers should also watch for airline-specific announcements regarding surcharges and schedule changes for the upcoming summer.

